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Malgré des pourparlers entre la Chine et les Etats-Unis la guerre commerciale va s’intensifier

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WSWS
WSWS
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Des négociations commerciales entre délégations américaines et chinoises auront lieu cette semaine à la veille de ce qui pourrait être une escalade majeure par Washington de sa guerre tarifaire contre Pékin. Des droits de douane de 25% sur 16 milliards de dollars de marchandises chinoises devraient entrer en vigueur jeudi et la Chine est prête à imposer des mesures de rétorsion sur une quantité équivalente de produits américains, portant à 50 milliards de dollars la valeur des biens touchés par les deux pays.

D’autres mesures sont en préparation alors que le Département américain du commerce tiendra des auditions publiques cette semaine sur une proposition visant à imposer des droits de douane pouvant atteindre 25% sur des produits chinois d’une valeur supplémentaire de 200 milliards de dollars. En réponse, Beijing a indiqué qu’il imposerait des mesures sur des produits américains d’une valeur de 66 milliards de dollars, ainsi que d’autres mesures de rétorsion non précisées à ce jour. Ces nouveaux impôts pourraient être en place le mois prochain ou début octobre.

Aucune autre proposition concrète visant à résoudre ce conflit grandissant n’est attendue des dernières discussions car les deux équipes de négociation sont des fonctionnaires de niveau inférieur qui n’ont pas le pouvoir de prendre de décisions finales.

La délégation chinoise, qui devrait être à Washington pendant deux jours, sera dirigée par Wang Shouwen, vice-ministre du Commerce, tandis que la délégation américaine sera dirigée par le sous-secrétaire au Trésor, David Malpass.

De précédentes délégations commerciales chinoises avaient été dirigées par le vice-Premier ministre Liu He. Mais Pékin a déclassé sa représentation après que Liu eut conclu un accord en mai dernier avec le secrétaire américain au Trésor Steven Mnuchin, pour augmenter de 100 milliards de dollars les importations chinoises vers les États-Unis ; l’accord fut supprimé par le Président Trump.

L’élément fondamental du conflit reste la demande formulée par les États-Unis dans leur déclaration de position soumise à Pékin en mai dernier, que la Chine non seulement réduise le déficit commercial, mais renonce aussi à son plan industriel et technologique « Made in China 2025 « .

Les États-Unis affirment que la Chine développe ce projet par le vol de droits de propriété intellectuelle, des transferts forcés de technologies et l’utilisation de subventions publiques pour les industries de haute technologie, leur donnant un avantage injuste sur les marchés mondiaux. Les principaux responsables de l’administration Trump, dont le représentant américain au Commerce Robert Lighthizer et le conseiller économique Peter Navarro, considèrent le développement technologique de la Chine comme une menace majeure pour la suprématie économique et en fin de compte militaire des États-Unis.

Si la Chine a accepté d’augmenter ses importations en provenance des États-Unis et de limiter les références officielles au «Made in China 2025», il existe une vive opposition à Pékin à ce qu’on considère être des efforts des États-Unis pour arrêter le développement économique de la Chine.

« L’administration Trump a clairement indiqué que contenir le développement de la Chine était la motivation profonde derrière les actions tarifaires », a déclaré à Bloomberg He Weiwen, un ancien ministre du Commerce. L’agence de presse a déclaré que ces vues ont été exprimées par de nombreux responsables gouvernementaux, anciens et actuels, et dirigeants d’entreprises parmi ceux qu’elle a interrogés.

Le Wall Street Journal a rapporté que le Trésor américain et le Conseil économique national, dirigé par Larry Kudlow, avaient préparé une liste de revendications globales pour la Chine qui, selon eux, pourraient constituer la base d’un accord commercial. Tant Mnuchin que Kudlow sont considérés comme favorables à des mesures visant à réduire le déficit commercial et qui pourraient être présentées comme une victoire pour les mesures de Trump. Mais, selon l’article, « le bureau du représentant américain au commerce, chargé des tarifs, souhaite retarder les négociations, arguant que des prélèvements supplémentaires donneraient aux États-Unis un plus grand pouvoir de négociation d’ici octobre ».

L’article indique que Trump n’a pas décidé sur lequel des deux camps s’appuyer et interviendra lorsqu’un accord serait sur la table. Mais cela ne viendra pas des pourparlers de cette semaine car aucune des parties n’a le pouvoir de le conclure.

En tout état de cause, l’administration se dirige vers des actions plus agressives contre la Chine. Après avoir annulé l’accord conclu en mai entre Mnchuin et Liu pour mettre « en suspens » la guerre commerciale, elle a imposé des droits de douane sur 50 milliards de dollars de marchandises. Trump a ensuite décidé que les tarifs proposés sur 200 milliards de dollars supplémentaires devraient être élevés de 10% à 25%.

Un tweet de Trump durant le week-end indique que de nouvelles mesures pourraient être envisagées et met en évidence la source sous-jacente du conflit politique qui sévit à Washington, poussé par l’appareil militaire et du renseignement, le Parti démocrate et des sections clés des médias pour une politique plus agressive envers la Russie.

« Tous les imbéciles qui se concentrent uniquement sur la Russie devraient commencer à regarder ailleurs, vers la Chine », a-t-il tweeté.

En plus de la menace de tarifs supplémentaires, les États-Unis ont clairement indiqué que la Chine, l’un des principaux marchés pour le pétrole iranien, devra faire face à des sanctions secondaires après la date butoir du 4 novembre imposée par les États-Unis pour l’arrêt d’achats de pétrole. Les Etats-Unis ont fait cette menace à la suite de leur retrait unilatéral de l’accord nucléaire iranien de 2015.

Interrogé sur les plans des Etats-Unis si la Chine insiste pour continuer son commerce pétrolier et de matières premières avec l’Iran, Brian Hook, chef du nouveau Groupe d’action iranien au Département d’État américain, a déclaré: « Les États-Unis s’attendent à ce que toutes les nations se conforment pleinement pour ne pas risquer des sanctions secondaires si elles continuent à effectuer ces transactions ».

Depuis l’imposition des premiers tarifs douaniers américains à la Chine le 6 juillet, la monnaie et les marchés boursiers chinois ont subi des baisses importantes. L’indice de référence des 50 plus grandes entreprises sur les marchés de Shanghai et de Shenzhen est en baisse de 15% et le yuan a baissé de près de 7% par rapport au dollar américain.

On s’inquiète maintenant du fait que les tarifs existants et la menace de nouvelles mesures pourraient commencer à avoir un impact sur l’économie en général. Au cours du week-end, le régulateur bancaire chinois a ordonné aux banques de soutenir des projets d’infrastructure et d’exportation. Il a déclaré que les banques devaient proposer un soutien aux entreprises et aux projets confrontés à des « difficultés temporaires » et qu’elles devraient « promouvoir efficacement la stabilité de l’emploi et la stabilisation des échanges et des investissements ».

Un problème majeur pour le gouvernement chinois est qu’il n’a pas une idée claire de ce que le gouvernement américain a l’intention de faire ensuite. Personne n’espère un résultat positif des discussions de cette semaine à Washington, et une source proche des décideurs de Beijing a déclaré au Financial Times: « Les responsables chinois sont inquiets parce qu’ils ne voient pas où cela mènera à la fin ».

Source : WSWS

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4 Commentaires

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    And if I had to guess, simply by you studying this publish in all probability means you’re
    already considerably lean and want to pack on dimension. Again and hamstrings are another set
    of muscles that pair completely collectively.
    The best method to achieve mass for most people is through increased energy and weight acquire
    general. Slightly greater in calorie than other meat sources,
    beef is an effective weight achieve food because of it is protein content
    as properly. While intake must be moderated, it can be an excellent addition right here and there in your weight achieve meal plan. Salmon accommodates unsaturated fats that’ll benefit your
    health as nicely as your calorie surplus.
    This permits you to benefit from every sort of train whereas maximizing the general muscle-building potential of your training program and avoiding any
    symptoms of overtraining. The key to building muscle is to extend the protein deposition rate whereas minimizing the muscle
    protein breakdown price. Muscle restoration entails the removal of lactic
    acid and hydrogen, and re-balancing of intramuscular vitamins and
    electrolytes. Taking time to rest and restore is a crucial step
    in constructing muscle.
    This is because whey protein is metabolized quickly, whereas casein protein is metabolized slowly.
    These together together ought to maintain a steady provide of protein out there to your
    body for mass achieve (4). So, if you need to full benefits of hitting your
    mass acquire targets, you have to make sure the caloric content of your mass gainer is high.

    High carb days can also be used to replenish muscle glycogen shops – resulting in improved efficiency and
    decreased muscle breakdown (70,71). Your
    protein wants are most carefully associated to how a lot lean mass you’ve and how much you employ your muscle tissue.
    Protein is not just for constructing mass; it also helps keep present muscle, so the
    more muscle you could have and the extra you put put on and tear
    on them, the more protein you need. If you are lean from the
    start, you could be more prone to put on muscle than those that
    are much less lean. Additionally, in case you have extra physique
    fats, to start with, it may be worth beginning
    with a minimize to lose some body fats before thinking about happening any bulking diet.
    In one study, coaching once per week was enough in supporting muscle
    progress (40).
    This article breaks down every little thing you should know
    in terms of constructing muscle, together with how to work out, what to eat, and recovery protocols.
    Diet and exercise work together and complement one another to
    enhance muscle mass and function. Pair this with our a la
    carte plan to totally customise your macros and food
    decisions, and make the dieting facet of muscle achieve feel like a breeze.
    Girls have a tendency to gain muscle very quickly initially but can then gradual to a decrease rate of
    gains than males. They are additionally much less more probably
    to achieve a excessive muscle mass general.
    And concerning form, you definitely want to come down to your chest for
    a full vary of motion. As I talked about earlier, that is
    more effective for hypertrophy than shorter ranges of motion. That said,
    it is essential to grasp the large image, because it does not begin and end together with
    your genetics. You could have a genetic profile similar to that of an Olympic athlete, but if you do not
    put within the work, you’ll never learn your precise potential.

    You should consume up to 2 grams of protein per pound of
    bodyweight every day. Consuming every three hours
    will help guarantee you’re absorbing and assimilating enough protein to support muscle progress.

    As it turns out, nearly any type of power coaching
    can result in muscle progress, since hypertrophy is the end
    result of mechanical tension. Nonetheless, your focus must be on training volume or « time under tension » somewhat
    than how heavy you are lifting. The longer and extra often you can stress your
    muscles, the simpler your hypertrophy coaching is.

    If you need to bulk up a certain muscle group, prepare it extra typically to extend muscle nuclei inside the cell.
    Overtraining is real; nevertheless, it applies to the
    central nervous system (not specifically to muscles) and is basically exaggerated in bodybuilding.
    If people have problems digesting milk and prefer to devour whey protein powder in water,
    they will add forty grams of maltodextrin or dextrose to a post-workout shake.
    We discover this provides fast replenishment of glycogen shops.

    That’s why it’s essential to observe your day-to-day stress, sleep
    and food regimen, since these influence these hormones and in flip affect your ability to progress.
    The molecular structure of testosterone, an important hormone for muscle
    development. The truth is that muscle development can differ widely from one individual to a different.

    It Is a good idea to purpose for the Scientific Legacy Path
    Victory within the Exploration Age to start the Trendy Age with extra Science.

    You Will get to keep all Academies and adjacency bonuses from Exploration,
    which is a strong increase to Science to analysis these Techs faster after every thing resets
    for the new Age. This stack is ONLY instructed for skilled users with 2+ years of significant training, weight-reduction plan, and supplement
    biking experience.
    ‘This type of protein powder makes it easier
    to eat energy on a consistent foundation compared to
    having to consume those energy from entire foods,’ Fleming adds.
    Now as for what number of drop sets to do to build muscle quick, one study changed 3 regular sets
    with 1 regular set adopted by 2 drop units.
    But for now, here is an example of what this might look like with a 3-day per week full physique
    exercise that would practice every muscle with round 6 units
    per week. Now, the last examine I need to have a look at
    before providing some recommendations for the least
    variety of sets you are in a place to do to construct muscle fast
    is a meta-analysis led by Brad Schoenfeld. The first technique that’ll help you
    construct muscle quick in much less time has to do with your workout quantity.

    It is beneficial that you give consideration to slowly growing your weights
    to not extra than 10% each week so the physique can adapt.

    This can even help scale back your danger of harm or overtraining.

    This makes them not only a software for muscle progress but in addition a useful asset for enhancing workout efficiency.
    Post-workout is the optimal time to devour mass gainers for muscle recovery, because it takes advantage of the body’s
    elevated muscle protein synthesis. By replenishing glycogen stores and providing essential vitamins, mass gainers can significantly aid in muscle
    recovery. For those with fast metabolisms, mass gainers could
    be notably beneficial. They help guarantee you’re consuming enough calories to help muscle
    development, which can be challenging via regular meals alone.
    Following the recommended serving dimension helps keep
    away from extreme calorie consumption and
    undesirable fats achieve.

    References:

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