Poutine a été assez patient, il savait que dans les premières années de la confrontation avec l’Occident, la Russie n’était pas en état de défier ouvertement l’Occident, et encore moins de le combattre militairement. C’est pourquoi il a empêché les forces du LDNR de se déplacer plus à l’ouest en 2014-2015, alors même que l’armée ukrainienne était en désarroi. S’il savait qu’à cette époque les Ukrainiens étaient paniqués et désorganisés, il savait aussi que la Russie ne pouvait pas affronter l’Occident. Ainsi, entre 2014 et 2018, la Russie a déployé un effort gigantesque pour développer le type de capacités nécessaires pour pouvoir affronter l’ensemble de l’OTAN et gagner. La, la Russie est enfin prête.
Poutine l’a dit clairement : « si quelqu’un prend la décision de détruire la Russie, nous avons parfaitement le droit de riposter. Oui, ce serait un désastre mondial pour l’humanité et pour le monde, mais en tant que citoyen russe et chef de la Russie, je voudrais poser la question suivante : « À quoi sert le monde sans la Russie ? »
Nous savons que Poutine menace rarement, il ne bluffe jamais.
Quiconque croit sincèrement que la Russie n’anéantira pas l’Occident tout entier si elle est sérieusement menacée ne connaît rien à l’histoire et ne comprend pas la mentalité russe. Poutine ne bluffe pas, l’Occident ne peut pas gagner, et la seule variable ici est le prix que l’Occident est prêt à payer pour sa défaite.
Le véritable revers de l’arrogance et de l’ignorance des néoconservateurs est que, loin de mettre à mal la Russie et la Chine comme ils le souhaitaient, ils ont grandement contribué à un renforcement majeur de l’alliance russe, chinoise et indienne. La Russie est loin d’être isolée.
L’ironie aussi est que les États-Unis voulaient créer une crise pour renverser Poutine mais, au contraire, cette crise lui a donné un élan extraordinaire de popularité.
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